Covid-19 is like lightning, violently exposing a familiar landscape, which it will lay to waste after the storm.
We call it a clarifying virus because it not only reveals existing trends but, more importantly, it accentuates or accelerates them. It is also, therefore, a transformational virus. It crystallizes trends that are now familiar: the Sino-American rivalry, exacerbated by the crisis; the abdication of American leadership, brought to a head by Trump's handling of Covid-19; the crisis of multilateralism (now virtually brain-dead?), illustrated by the failings of the World Health Organization (WHO). Other significant developments exposed to view by Covid-19, especially Europe’s potential rebound, must also be factored into the "new normal" that could ensue from current events. In the purely political interpretation we offer here, we will also point out that history has not yet been written. The repercussions of Covid-19 will only be felt in the long run, and the "clarification" will only be complete after the other "game changer" of 2020: the American presidential election.
We should not fully rely on the current picture when the thunderstorm is far from over. We will nonetheless endeavor to make an assessment of some preliminary tendencies of our foreign policy.