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14/02/2022

A French Populist Tide? Things Could Be Worse

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A French Populist Tide? Things Could Be Worse
 Philip Nord
Author
Professor at Princeton University

The Right is on the march in the Western world. Populism has the wind in its sails in Eastern Europe, where Victor Orbán’s Hungary and Jaroslaw Kacynski’s Poland espouse an ethnonationalism that mixes xenophobia with a call to return to the Catholic faith of pre-Vatican II days. What such regimes aspire to is a form of illiberal democracy. Public debate is not silenced, but one voice dominates all the others thanks to electoral manipulation and control of the media and judiciary. All this will sound familiar to many Americans, who have just escaped a close encounter with a would-be populist authoritarian. Former President Trump was an adept rabble-rouser who preyed on the anxieties of ordinary men and women fearful of immigrants at home and sinister forces overseas, the Chinese first and foremost, who were impugned for wrongs of all kinds. Trump also had a message for the parvenu rich and Christian America: stick with me, and I will make your fortune, and I will do it with Bible in hand. When the majority of voters repudiated such appeals in the 2020 elections, opting to turn Trump out of office, he did not scruple to resort to foul means to reverse the popular will, even to the point of inciting followers to "fight like hell," which they did, mounting an assault on the Capitol. Trump and his mob failed in their purpose, in part because of police intervention but also because elements of the Republican Party establishment, from Vice President Michael Pence to then Senate Majority Leader Mitchell McConnell, refused to go along with the attempted coup d’état. 

The Right in all its variety has been on bold display these recent years, its multiple currents vying ferociously with one another to gain the upper hand. Establishment conservatives promising prudent economic policy at home and a firm military posture abroad once ruled the roost on the Right, but they now find themselves besieged: by religious and monied elites fed up with secularism and government regulation, by plebeian elements who feel the walls of a globalizing world closing in, and by brawlers ready to take to the streets when electoral politics fail to produce the results they desire.

France has known a moment when the Right, in all its fissiparous glory, was on the move, morphing and taking new forms as it advanced, and that moment was the Dreyfus Affair.

France has known a moment when the Right, in all its fissiparous glory, was on the move, morphing and taking new forms as it advanced, and that moment was the Dreyfus Affair. Captain Alfred Dreyfus was condemned by a military court in 1894 for passing state secrets to the Germans. A campaign soon gathered momentum for a revision of the innocent captain’s trial, but Prime Minister Jules Méline, a moderate republican of protectionist views, pushed back. "There is no Dreyfus Affair," he declared in 1897. The traitor was just that, a traitor, and it was right and necessary for the country to move on. For some, this was too tepid a response. It required more than oratory, they believed, to force the Dreyfusards to back down.

For the very life of the nation was at stake, and it behooved true patriots to mobilize. Such was the impulse that fueled the growth of extra-parliamentary leagues, like the Ligue de la Patrie française (LPF), the Ligue des patriotes (LDP), and the Action française (AF). When the LPF was founded in 1899, litterateurs and academics flocked to its ranks, embracing it as a vehicle to defend French quality in a vulgar, democratizing age. Maurice Barrès, an early member, was emblematic of this frame of mind. He had authored Les Déracinés in 1897, the story of a cohort of young men momentarily led astray by an empty intellectualism. What French youth needed instead, Barrès exhorted, were professors of energy who drew strength from the nation’s soil, from la Terre et les Morts, as he later phrased it. It was a tradition-minded way of thinking that ultimately led Barrès himself away from a youthful iconoclasm toward a renewed faith in Christian religion. 

Barrès preached the gospel of energy, but the Ligue des patriotes and the Action française took matters one step further. The LDP’s membership was less high-brow than the LPF’s and ready to engage in roughhouse politics in a way the LPF was not. In 1899, Félix Faure, the president of the Republic, died, and the man slated to succeed him, Émile Loubet, was known to favor a new trial for Dreyfus. The leader of the LDP, Paul Déroulède was determined to forestall such an eventuality and seized the occasion of Faure’s funeral to attempt a coup d’état. He tried to cajole military units in the cortege to march on the Élysée, a stratagem that ended in pathetic failure. The Action française took a more deliberate approach to the matter of street politics. Grand gestures like Déroulède’s might be doomed, but it was still possible to intimidate opponents on a day-to-day basis. To that end, the AF maintained its own band of street-fighters, the Camelots du roi, who dedicated themselves to making life miserable for those it deemed lacking in national feeling.

It is easy enough to spot the parallels between Trump’s America and Dreyfus-era France, but where does today’s France fit into the picture? Last summer, the answer seemed clear enough. As the presidential campaign season got underway, there appeared to be just two serious candidates in contention, Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen. The Left floundered in disarray, the classic Right had yet to speak, and so it seemed, if but for a moment, that the last two standing in the 2017 presidential elections were bound to meet again in the presidential finals later this year. The political landscape, however, has changed since then.

As the landscape has evolved, moreover, it has come to resemble more and more (though not entirely as we shall see) that of Dreyfus-era France and the contemporary US.

It is not that the Left has pulled itself together, though it is making an effort. It is that two new contestants on the Right have entered the lists, Valérie Pécresse and Éric Zemmour. Their appearance on the scene has shaken things up, making Le Pen look less of a shoo-in to make the second round. As the landscape has evolved, moreover, it has come to resemble more and more (though not entirely as we shall see) that of Dreyfus-era France and the contemporary US. 

The terrain that Pécresse has staked out is clear in its outlines. She boasts all the right educational credentials with degrees from the HEC Paris and ENA. She has worked alongside pillars of the conservative establishment from Jacques Chirac to François Fillon. These are right-wing times, of course, and that has left its mark on Pécresse’s platform. She talks about protecting the nation’s sovereignty, but at heart, she is a business-friendly moderate of a familiar, even reassuring type.

The speech that Zemmour delivered at Villepinte last December to kick off his presidential campaign suggests a candidate who is more akin to Barrès than to Déroulède.

Less reassuring, and by design, is Zemmour, whose rhetorical assaults on Islam have earned him more than one fine for incitation to racial hatred. But how out of control is he? The speech that Zemmour delivered at Villepinte last December to kick off his presidential campaign suggests a candidate who is more akin to Barrès than to Déroulède. He spoke of le remplacement (replacement) and le déclassement (downgrading) but also of le déracinement (uprooting), a Barresian watchword if ever there was one. It is worth recalling that Zemmour first made his name, not as a man of action, but as a chroniqueur at Le Figaro.

So it comes as little surprise that he eschews the slanging speech of the demagogue, peppering his oratory instead with learned invocations of counter-revolutionary writers like Georges Bernanos. Or, on other occasions, of reactionary philosophers like Louis de Bonald. The Bonald/Bernanos pairing is suggestive in its own right. Both men remained loyal to a Catholic Church that refused to bend to the revolutionary times. Indeed, for Zemmour, it is not just a question of refusing to bend but of reconquering, hence the name of his party, Reconquête, itself an allusion to the Reconquista, the centuries-long struggle to return Muslim-controlled Spain to Christendom. Little surprise again, then, that the Villepinte audience cheered when Zemmour declared his commitment to l’école libre or that Zemmour’s campaign has attracted the interest of the most Catholic of Jean-Marie Le Pen’s descendants, Marion Maréchal. There are evident ironies in all this, of course. Zemmour is Jewish, and Barrès, the anti-Dreyfusard, was no friend of the Jews. Notwithstanding, and as unlikely as it may seem, Zemmour has positioned himself as the present-day standard-bearer of a Barrès-style Nationalism.

The position has its limitations, however. Barrès had some success in politics, entering the Chamber of Deputies in 1906 as representative from Paris’ 1er arrondissement, at that time a constituency dominated by commercial interests. The middle class, rather than the plebs, made up his electoral base, and the same, there is reason to suspect, may said of Zemmour. Take a look at the crowd in attendance at his Villepinte speech, most of them wearing masks, many in neckties. They shouted and waved flags, but they were not a plebeian bunch. Zemmour’s message may go over at well-heeled Parisian dinner parties, but does it have the same echo in la France profonde (the "French heartland")? The populist, Déroulèdist strain of Nationalism is Marine Le Pen’s territory, and she still has a hold on it. Zemmour’s candidacy may not fizzle, but it will weaken with time, and there are signs that this is already happening.

There is something missing, however, in this inventory of right-wing options. In contrast to the United States, there is no one of prominence on the French scene who instigates violence or who boasts an established record of election subversion, and this is consequential for how next spring’s elections will play out. Zemmour may take enough votes away from Le Pen such that Pécresse squeezes into the second round; or he may fade so fast to Le Pen’s benefit that she powers her way into a return match with Macron. But whatever the scenario, there will be no attempted coup as in Dreyfus days or as in America in January 2021. The Right’s field of candidates may not be to everyone’s liking, but rest assured, things could be worse.

 

Copyright: STEPHANE DE SAKUTIN / AFP

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