It is possible that the United States, Egypt and Qatar, with their power, influence and money, will end up imposing a compromise on the belligerents. But the situation will probably get worse before it gets better. Israel’s superiority on the ground is certainly overwhelming. That said, as long as the Palestinians manage to maintain a ratio of 1 to 10 between Israeli losses and their own, each new victory is almost a defeat for Israel - all the more so with the new risk factor of a civil war between Israel's Jewish and Arab citizens.
An end to the current hostilities will simply be the latest truce. Nothing will be settled. Israel’s security depends mainly on its military strength, but also on its legitimacy. And this legitimacy depends on a solution to the Palestinian question.
The "Palestinian volcano" has erupted, and not for the last time. In the very short term, this eruption, or awakening, has produced two winners: Hamas on the Palestinian side, Benjamin Netanyahu on the Israeli side. The former has demonstrated the non-existence of the Palestinian Authority; the latter, his inescapable political pervasiveness. How many more generations will be "sacrificed" on the altar of these minor calculations?
Courtesy of Les Echos (first published on May 14, 2021)
Copyright : KENA BETANCUR / AFP
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