The flight of Afghan President Ghani sealed the Taliban’s stronghold over the country. In the space of a few days, the whole of the country was thrown into chaos and uncertainty. On Saturday 15 August, the Taliban finally walked on Kabul. The international community now fears the worst. But how did we get to this point? Was the Taliban take predictable? What will the consequences be for the region and for former allies active in the country? How should we interpret the US’ decision to withdraw its troops? And what will Russia and China do?
China’s Coming Afghan Policy: a Window on China’s New Strategy
Analysis by François Godement
On July 28, China widely broadcast official photos of China’s Foreign Minister greeting Taliban leader Ghani Baradar and his crew. The speed and extent of China’s adjustment in its Afghan policy raises the question of China’s future Afghan strategy - an issue for both regional and global stability.
South Asia and the Taliban: Ground Zero for a New Cold War?
Analysis by Christophe Jaffrelot
Afghanistan has been at the heart of Indo-Pakistani relations for over forty years. Analysis of the repercussions of the Taliban's return into the regional arena.
Endgame in Afghanistan: Should We Be Worried?
Analysis by Bruno Tertrais
Afghanistan reclaimed by the Taliban is not the same as it was in the late 1990s, when they first took power. Analysis of the global geopolitical consequences of Kabul's fall.
The Fall of Kabul and the Weight of Western Defeat
Analysis by Michel Duclos
Looking at the images coming out of Kabul, it is easy to draw a parallel between what has just happened in Afghanistan and the fall of Saigon in 1975. Read our perspectives on the situation on Afghanistan.