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Examples of deeply rooted anti-French sentiment abound in West Africa. From the October 2022 attacks on the French Embassy in Ouagadougou and the French Institute in Bobo-Dioulasso to regular demonstrations in Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger protesting France's presence in the region, or from the...

Security Collapse in Mali and Burkina Faso: What Implications? - Anticipating the Crisis Through the Eyes of Jihadists

11 January 2023 | Jonathan Guiffard

This analysis is an exercise in prospective thinking on the possible evolution of the situation in the Sahel and its spillover into the rest of West Africa through the eyes of an imagined Al Qaeda jihadist in the Sahel. Its purpose is to allow the reader to consider the strategy and objectives of...

Xi Jinping - The Emperor's New Clothes

6 January 2023 | François Godement

Policy developments for the past few weeks in China confounds generally held rational expectations about the CCP's rule over China. The first expectation is that a CCP Congress sets the political line for the next five years. In truth, this has often not been the case. Congress resolutions are a...

Understanding Syria's Enduring Crisis

16 December 2022 | Michel Duclos

As the world watches Ukraine, a bitter anniversary is being marked this year in Syria, where the country is entering its second decade of civil war. Eleven years after the uprising, the conflict has taken a huge toll on Syrians. Today, the country is subject to the influence of foreign forces and...

The Fall of Russia

14 December 2022 | Bruno Tertrais

Exactly one hundred years after the birth of the Soviet Union on December 30, 1922, we could well be witnessing its second collapse. Putin's attempt to reconstitute a privileged sphere of influence around Russia is turning into a catastrophe. And this catastrophe may only be the beginning. It is...

Iran's Women-Led Protests: What It Means for The Islamic Republic

Interview with Ladan Boroumand

12 December 2022 | Ladan Boroumand

Protests are not abating in Iran since the death of Mahsa Amini. Two months after the young woman passed away, Ladan Boroumand, historian and co-founder of the NGO "Abdorrahman Boroumand Center" puts the recent events in a historical context. She discusses the nature of the Iranian regime, the...

Macron's State Visit: If Biden Wants to Talk to Europe, He Must Talk to France

Interview with Dominique Moïsi

6 December 2022 | Dominique Moïsi

Before analyzing the visit itself, it is important to place it in the broader context of Franco-American relations. President Macron went to Washington on the first state visit by a foreign leader since President Biden took office. It is his second state visit to the White House (following...

War in Ukraine: Is the Time Ripe to Negotiate?

24 November 2022 | Michel Duclos

Mr. Putin is racking up one stinging setback after another, whether this relates to his troops' defeat in Kherson, the preservation of the pro-Ukraine majority in Congress following the US midterm election, or the increasing isolation faced by Moscow following the G20 summit in Bali. Americans...

COP27: a Tale of Reparation, Confrontation, Competition, and Cooperation

23 November 2022 | Joseph Dellatte

The 27th Conference of the Parties (COP27) is over. As expected, establishing a financial mechanism for climate-related loss and damage was the most debated topic in the Sinai Desert over the past two weeks. Beyond the traditional half-hearted outcome, what emerged was the collusion of three...

All Eyes on Africa: What COP27 Entails for the Continent

Interview with Chukwumerije Okereke

7 November 2022 | Chukwumerije Okereke

From November 6th to November 18th, 2022, the 27th edition of the United Nations Climate Change Conference, commonly referred to as COP27, will be held in Sharm-El-Sheik, Egypt. As the concomitant issues of climate change and energy transition become more and more pressing, and with Africa standing...

The Ukraine Moment in Transatlantic Relations… and Then What?

28 October 2022 | Georgina Wright | Alexander Cooley

The United States will hold midterm elections on November 8th, 2022 in what will be a critical turning point for the remainder of Biden's presidency. This event calls for a Franco-American dialogue to help us understand the issues affecting both sides of the Atlantic, namely the challenges posed by...

Ahead of the Midterms: An Eye on the Economy From Both Sides of the Atlantic

20 October 2022 | Eric Chaney | Pierre-André Chiappori

The United States will hold midterm elections on November 8th, 2022 in what will be a critical turning point for the remainder of Biden’s presidency. This event calls for a Franco-American dialogue to help us understand the issues affecting both sides of the Atlantic, namely the challenges posed...

On to a Second Round: Monitoring the Presidential Elections in Brazil

An interview with Thomas Traumann

19 October 2022 | Thomas Traumann

On Sunday, October 2nd, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva received 48,4% of the votes in the first round of Brazil's presidential elections, while Jair Bolsonaro got 43,23%, with 99.87% of the ballots counted. As the world closely watches the election two weeks prior to the final round which will divide...

Towards COP27: An Agenda for India-Europe Climate Policy Cooperation

14 October 2022 | Joseph Dellatte

India and the European Union are facing the global energy crisis and the geopolitical turmoil resulting from Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Although this crisis has pushed them to widely diverge in their policies toward imports of Russian resources, room for greater cooperation certainly exists:...

An Institut Montaigne Explainer: US Midterm Elections

10 October 2022 | Louise Chetcuti

The 2022 US midterm election is underway. With the primary season over in all 50 states, both parties are shifting their focus to the general election on Nov. 8. These midterms will determine the political makeup of Congress for the next two years, impacting what President Biden can achieve over...

Why Truss and Macron Are Right to Reset Franco-British Relations

7 October 2022 | Georgina Wright

For the past five years, relations between London and Paris have gone from bad to worse. Brexit, AUKUS, migration and fisheries - it's hard to keep track of the number of spats the two countries have had. But there are signs that things are changing. Yesterday evening, France and the UK published a...

What's at Stake in Brazil's Upcoming Election?

3 October 2022 | Olivier Dabène

This article, belonging to the Observatory of Populism, is part of Institut Montaigne’s new partnership with the Illiberalism Studies Program at George Washington University, which will extensively cover populist voices, whether in Brazil, Europe, or in the crowded US midterm election landscape....

Ukraine: Can the Global South Give Up on Russia?

30 September 2022 | Michel Duclos

The title given to this paper is evidently provocative: there is no unequivocal Global South, nor has Russia ever benefited from total support in this region. But this title does capture an undeniable political reality. An undeniable political reality Russia enjoys a favorable bias in...

Russia's Bid to Provide Security in Africa: An Illusory Solution

22 September 2022 | Jonathan Guiffard

A tantalizing offer As soon as Russian military forces set foot in Syria to join the civil war in September 2015, a "new" narrative started to circulate, spreading the idea that Russia was now in a position to offer robust, direct and non-Western security assistance to countries and actors in...

The Ukraine War: A Resilience Test for the European Union?

Interview with Ivan Kratsev

15 September 2022 | Ivan Krastev

Russia's war against Ukraine is set to fundamentally transform the international order. Ivan Kratsev, Chairman of the Centre for Liberal Strategies in Sofia, Bulgaria, believes this crisis will test Europeans' readiness to defend the European security order. From the Balkans’'perspective, he...

Decoupling from China? Myth, Reality and Costs

Decoupling from China? Myth, Reality and Costs

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Decoupling from China? Myth, Reality and Costs

Decoupling from China? Myth, Reality and Costs

Europe et International

Envoyer cette page par email