Trump’s personality, along with the Republicans’ policy choices, also sparked a strong reaction among the opposite camp. Despite attempts led by Republican governors, notorious for their gerrymandering and efforts to curtail minorities’ right to vote, the Democratic Party’s candidates successfully mobilized constituencies. Women in particular, whether appalled by or scared of Trump’s discourse and policies, presented themselves in record numbers to contest elections at both state and federal levels. 75% of the women candidates running for Congress are Democrats. Many college-educated white suburban women, who traditionally vote Republican, are expected to switch sides and support Democratic candidates. The Party itself is divided between its more radical and moderate wings. Yet the desire to turn the political tide, to regain some of the Midwestern Democrat voters who defected to Trump, and to counterbalance the country’s decisively illiberal course, unified the Party for a common purpose. Most importantly, rather than running their campaigns on "cultural identity" issues that reportedly annoy many voters, Democrats chose to focus on their success in passing the once vilified Obamacare, on protecting the economically vulnerable and on representing the good and decent side of American identity.
As a result of these dynamics and of Donald Trump’s galvanizing personality, these midterms are likely to register a high turnout. The key to Democrats’ victories at all levels is the turnout of the youth, Hispanic and Black voters. Most polls, albeit with great caution, project a Democratic majority in the House of Representatives, with a few critical states shifting towards the Democratic Party in Gubernatorial elections, and the Senate remaining under Republican control.
Tomorrow, once the results are known, and many of the tight contests could potentially go to recount, the race for the 2020 presidential election will start. And, no matter the midterms’ results, Donald Trump will be the central character of these elections as well.